BlockBeats News, December 15th, according to PolyBeats monitoring, predicting the market “Will Tesla launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) before December 31st?” Since its creation on May 30th, the probability has dropped from a high of 75% all the way down, standing at only 7% as of the morning of the 14th Eastern Time.
However, on the morning of the 14th Eastern Time, several X users tweeted that they had found a “completely unmanned” Tesla Model Y Robotaxi driving autonomously in Austin, Texas. Shortly after, Tesla’s AI lead Ashok Elluswamy retweeted the unmanned driving video with the comment “And so it begins!”, which the market interpreted as a signal that Tesla is about to release unsupervised FSD.
Impacted by this news, the market probability surged nearly 8 times, reaching a peak of 54%, currently at 24%.
During this surge, there was one suspicious user, sanqo, who could have made over 200% in profits but did not move his position. He started buying “yes” in this market three months ago, with an average price of 17 cents and an unrealized gain of 79%. His only other trade was a successful bet on “Will Tesla launch an unsupervised Robotaxi service before October 31st?” with a profit of 187%.
