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Home News U.S. January Inflation Stuck at Elevation, PPI Rebounds Above Expectations, Rate Cut Expectations Suppressed

U.S. January Inflation Stuck at Elevation, PPI Rebounds Above Expectations, Rate Cut Expectations Suppressed

U.S. January Inflation Stuck at Elevation, PPI Rebounds Above Expectations, Rate Cut Expectations Suppressed

BlockBeats News, February 27th. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released data showing that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for January rose by 0.5% on a monthly basis, higher than the market’s expectation of 0.3% and also above December 2025’s 0.4%; on a yearly basis, it rose by 2.9%, surpassing the expected 2.6%. The data indicates that upstream inflation pressure remains resilient.

Excluding food, energy, and trade services, the core PPI rose by 0.3% on a monthly basis, in line with expectations, but increased to 3.4% year-on-year, higher than the market’s expectation of 3%. Structurally, energy prices fell slightly, with gasoline wholesale prices dropping by 5.5% on a monthly basis and a significant 15.7% decrease year-on-year; rising service wholesale prices and the expansion of retailer and wholesaler profit margins were the main driving factors.

Previously released data showed that the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.4% year-on-year, close to the Fed’s 2% target. However, the unexpectedly strong performance of the PPI has reinforced concerns about inflation stickiness, which may lead the Fed to maintain a cautious approach to its interest rate path.

Following the data release, international spot gold prices experienced a slight retreat from their highs, followed by a partial recovery of the decline. Market participants pointed out that certain components of the PPI (especially healthcare and financial services) will feed into the Fed’s more closely monitored Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, and the subsequent data performance will be a key reference for interest rate expectations.

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