BlockBeats News, November 20, Vitalik Buterin issued a warning yesterday at the Devconnect conference, stating that quantum computing could break Elliptic Curve Cryptography by 2028, before the U.S. presidential election.
This statement has sparked intense debate in the community: Crypto KOL Charles Edwards stated that mainstream experts are already assessing the risk of a quantum attack on Bitcoin. Vitalik’s three-year prediction also confirms this. The crypto industry can no longer ignore this risk. Physics expert David M. Antonelli expressed a counterpoint, stating that even the most optimistic projections (IBM, Google, Quantinuum) expect only a few thousand physical quantum bits by 2030, rather than millions of logical quantum bits.
Furthermore, Tom Lee also retweeted reports related to Vitalik’s warning about the “quantum computing threat to cryptographic algorithms.”
Although there is controversy regarding whether the threat of quantum computing to the crypto industry can materialize by 2028, the community generally believes that based on the current pace of research progress, quantum computing will indeed threaten cryptographic algorithms in the foreseeable future.
